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    March 20

    sautman on scmp on tibetan protests

    Protests in Tibet and Separatism: the Olympics and Beyond

    {expanded version of a letter submitted to the South China Morning Post, by Barry Sautman}

    Recent protests in Lhasa and other Tibetan areas were organized to
    embarrass the Chinese government ahead of the Olympics. The Tibetan
    Youth Congress (TYC), the major Tibetan exile organization that
    advocates independence for Tibet and has endorsed using violent methods
    to achieve it, has said as much. Its head, Tsewang Rigzin, stated in a
    March 15 interview with the Chicago Tribune that since it is likely that
    Chinese authorities would suppress protests in Tibet, “With the
    spotlight on them with the Olympics, we want to test them.  We want them
    to show their true colors.  That’s why we’re pushing this.”  At the
    June, 2007 Conference for an Independent Tibet organized in India by
    “Friends of Tibet,” speakers pointed out that the Olympics present a
    unique opportunity for protests in Tibet. In January, 2008, exiles in
    India launched a “Tibetan People’s Uprising Movement” to “act in the
    spirit” of the violent 1959 uprising against Chinese government
    authority and focus on the Olympics.

      Several groups of Tibetans were likely involved in the protests in
    Lhasa, including in the burning and looting of non-Tibetan businesses
    and attacks against Han and Hui (Muslim Chinese) migrants to Tibet. The
    large monasteries have long been centers of separatism, a stance
    cultivated by the TYC and other exile entities, many of which are
    financed by the US State Department or the US Congress’ National
    Endowment for Democracy. Monks are self-selected to be especially
    devoted to the Dalai Lama. However much he may characterize his own
    position as seeking only greater autonomy for Tibet, monks know he is
    unwilling to declare that Tibet is an inalienable part of China, an act
    China demands of him as a precondition to formal negotiations. Because
    the exile regime eschews a separation of politics and religion, many
    monks deem adherence to the Dalai Lama’s stance of non-recognition of
    the Chinese government’s legitimacy in Tibet to be a religious
    obligation.

     Reports on the violence have underscored that Tibetan merchants
    competing with Han and Hui are especially antagonistic to the presence
    of non-Tibetans. Alongside monks, Tibetan merchants were the mainstay of
    protests in Lhasa in the late 1980s and early 1990s.  This time around,
    many Han and Hui-owned shops were torched.  Many of those involved in
    arson, looting, and ethnic-based beatings are also likely to have been
    unemployed young men. Towns have experienced much rural-to-urban
    migration of Tibetans with few skills needed for urban employment.
    Videos from Lhasa showed the vast majority of rioters were males in
    their teens or twenties.

       The recent actions in Tibetan areas differ from the broad-based
    demonstrations of “people power” movements in several parts of the
    world in the last few decades. They hardly show the overwhelming
    Tibetan anti-Chinese consensus portrayed in the international media.
    The highest media estimate of Tibetans who participated in protests is
    20,000 -- by Steve Chao, the Beijing Bureau Chief of Canadian
    Television News, i.e. one of every 300 Tibetans.  Compare that to the
    1986 protests against the Marcos dictatorship by about three million
    -- one out of every 19 Filipinos.

      Tibetans have legitimate grievances about not being sufficiently helped
    to compete for jobs and in business with migrants to Tibet. There is
    also job discrimination by Han migrants in favor of family members and
    people from their native places. The gaps in education and living
    standards between Tibetans and Han are substantial and too slow in
    narrowing. The grievances have long existed, but protests and rioting
    took place this year because the Olympics make it opportune for
    separatists to advance their agenda.  Indeed, there was a radical
    disconnect between Tibetan socio-economic grievances and the slogans
    raised in the protests, such as “Complete Independence for Tibet” and
    “May the exiles and Tibetans inside Tibet be reunited,” slogans that
    not coincidentally replicate those raised by pro-independence Tibetan
    exiles.

     While separatists will not succeed in detaching Tibet from China by
    rioting, they believe that China will eventually collapse, like the
    former Soviet Union and Yugoslavia, and they seek to establish their
    claim to rule before that happens.  Alternatively, they think that the
    United States may intervene, as it has elsewhere, to foster the
    breakaway of regions in countries to which the US is antagonistic, e.g.
    Kosovo and southern Sudan.  The Chinese government also fears such
    eventualities, however unlikely they are to come to pass.  It
    accordingly acts to suppress separatism, an action that comports with
    its rights under international law.

     Separatists know they can count on the automatic sympathy of Western
    politicians and media, who view China as a strategic economic and
    political competitor. Western elites have thus widely condemned China
    for suppressing riots that these elites would never allow to go
    unsuppressed in their own countries.  They demand that China be
    restrained in its response; yet, during the Los Angeles uprising or
    riots of 1992 -- which spread to a score of other major cities --
    President George H.W. Bush stated when he send in thousands of soldiers,
    that “There can be no excuse for the murder, arson, theft or vandalism
    that have terrorized the people of Los Angeles . . .  Let me assure you
    that I will use whatever force is necessary to restore order.” Neither
    Western politicians nor mainstream media attacked him on this score,
    while neither Western leaders nor the Dalai Lama have criticized those
    Tibetans who recently engaged in ethnic-based attacks and arsons.

      Western elites give the Chinese government no recognition for
    significant improvements in the lives of Tibetans as a result of
    subsidies from the China’s central government and provinces,
    improvements that the Dalai Lama has himself admitted. Western
    politicians and media also consistently credit the Dalai Lama’s charge
    that “cultural genocide” is underway in Tibet, even though the exiles
    and their supporters offer no credible evidence of the evisceration of
    Tibetan language use, religious practice or art.  In fact, more than
    90% of Tibetans speak Tibetan as their mother tongue. Tibet has about
    150,000 monks and nuns, the highest concentration of full-time “clergy”
    in the Buddhist world.  Western scholars of Tibetan literature and art
    forms have attested that it is flourishing.

       Ethnic contradictions in Tibet arise from the demography, economy and
    politics of the Tibetan areas. Separatists and their supporters claim
    that Han Chinese have been “flooding” into Tibet, “swamping” Tibetans
    demographically. In fact, between the national censuses of 1990 and
    2000 (which count everyone who has lived in an area for six months or
    more), the percentage of Tibetans in the Tibetan areas as a whole
    increased somewhat and Han were about one-fifth of the population.  A
    preliminary analysis of the 2005 mini-census shows that from 2000-2005
    there was a small increase in the proportion of Han in the
    central-western parts of Tibet (the Tibet Autonomous Region or TAR)
    and little change in eastern Tibet.  Pro-independence forces want the
    Tibetan areas cleansed of Han (as happened in 1912 and 1949); the
    Dalai Lama has said he will accept a three-to-one Tibetan to non-Tibet
    population ratio, but he consistently misrepresents the present
    situation as one of a Han majority.  Given his status as not merely
    the top Tibetan Buddhist religious leader, but as an emanation of
    Buddha, most Tibetans credit whatever he says on this or other topics.

       The Tibetan countryside, where three-fourths of the population lives,
    has very few non-Tibetans. The vast majority of Han migrants to
    Tibetan towns are poor or near-poor.  They are not personally
    subsidized by the state; although like urban Tibetans, they are
    indirectly subsidized by infrastructure development that favors the
    towns. Some 85% of Han who migrate to Tibet to establish businesses
    fail; they generally leave within two to three years.  Those who
    survive economically offer competition to local Tibetan business
    people, but a comprehensive study in Lhasa has shown that non-Tibetans
    have pioneered small and medium enterprise sectors that some Tibetans
    have later entered and made use of their local knowledge to prosper.

      Tibetans are not simply an underclass; there is a substantial Tibetan
    middle class, based in government service, tourism, commerce, and
    small-scale manufacturing/ transportation. There are also many
    unemployed or under-employed Tibetans, but almost no unemployed or
    underemployed Han because those who cannot find work leave.  Many Han
    migrants have racist attitudes toward Tibetans, mostly notions that
    Tibetans are lazy, dirty, and obsessed with religion. Many Tibetans
    reciprocate with representations of Han as rich, money-obsessed and
    conspiring to exploit Tibetans. Long-resident urban Tibetans absorb
    aspects of Han culture in much the same way that ethnic minorities do
    with ethnic majority cultures the world over.  Tibetans are not however
    being forcibly “Sincized.” Most Tibetans speak little or no Chinese.
    They begin to learn it in the higher primary grades and, in many
    Tibetan areas, must study in it if they go on to secondary education.
    Chinese, however, is one of the two most important languages in the
    world and considerable advantages accrue to those who learn it, just as
    they do to non-native English speakers.

     The Tibetan exiles argue that religious practice is sharply restricted
    in Tibetan areas.  The Chinese government has the right under
    international law to regulate religious institutions to prevent them
    from being used as vehicles for separatism and the control of religion
    is in fact mostly a function of the state’s (overly-developed) concern
    about separatism and secondarily about how the hyper-development of
    religious institutions counteracts “development” among ethnic Tibetans.
    Certain state policies do infringe on freedom of religion; for example,
    the forbidding, in the TAR (Tibet Autonomous Region), of state employees
    and university students to participate in religious rites.  The lesser
    degree of control over religion in the eastern Tibetan areas beyond the
    TAR-- at least before the events of March, 2008 -- indicate however that
    the Chinese government calibrates its control according to the perceived
    degree of separatist sentiment in the monasteries.

      The Dalai Lama’s regime was of course itself a theocracy that closely
    regulated the monasteries, including the politics, hierarchy and number
    of monks. The exile authorities today circumscribe by fiat those
    religious practices they oppose, such as the propitiation of a “deity”
    known as Dorje Shugden.  The cult of the Dalai Lama, which is even
    stronger among monks than it is among Hollywood stars, nevertheless
    mandates acceptance of his claim that restrictions on religious
    management and practice in Tibet arise solely from the Chinese state’s
    supposed anti-religious animus.  Similarly, the cult requires the
    conviction that the Dalai Lama is a pacifist, even though he has
    explicitly or implicitly endorsed all wars waged by the US.

      The development of the “market economy” has had much the same effect in
    Tibetan areas as in the rest of China, i.e. increased exploitation,
    exacerbated income and wealth differentials, and rampant corruption.
    The degree to which this involves an “ethnic division of labor” that
    disadvantages Tibetans is however exaggerated by separatists in order
    to foster ethnic antagonism.  For example, Tibet is not the poorest
    area of China, as is often claimed.  It is better off than several
    other ethnic minority areas and even than some Han areas, in large
    measure due to heavy government subsidies. Rural Tibetans as well
    receive more state subsidies than other minorities.  The exile leaders
    employ hyperbole not only in terms of the degree of empirical
    difference, but also concerning the more fundamental ethnic
    relationship in Tibet: in contrast to, say, Israel/Palestine, Tibetans
    have the same rights as Han, they enjoy certain preferential economic
    and social policies, and about half the top party leaders in the TAR
    have been ethnic Tibetans.

     Tibet has none of the indicia of a colony or occupied territory and thus
    has no relationship to self-determination, a concept that in recent
    decades has often been misused, especially by the US, to foster the
    breakup of states and consequent emiseration of their populations. A
    settlement between the Chinese government and Tibetan exile elites is a
    pre-condition for the mitigation of Tibetan grievances because absent a
    settlement, ethnic politics will continue to subsume every issue in
    Tibet, as it does for example, in Taiwan and Kosovo, where ethnic
    binaries are constructed by “ethnic political entrepreneurs,” who seek
    to outbid each other for support.

     The riots in Tibet have done nothing to advance discussions of a
    political settlement between the Chinese government and exiles, yet a
    settlement is necessary for the substantial mitigation of Tibetan
    grievances.  For Tibetan pro-independence forces, a setback to such
    efforts may have been their very purpose in fostering the riots. Tibetan
    pro-independence forces, like separatists everywhere, seek to counter
    any view of the world that is not ethnic-based and to thwart all efforts
    to resolve ethnic contradictions, in order to boost the mobilization
    needed to sustain their ethnic nationalist projects.  They have claimed
    that China will soon collapse and the US will thereafter increase its
    patronage of a Tibetan state elite, to the benefit of ordinary Tibetans.
     One only has to look round the world at the many humanitarian
    catastrophes that have resulted from such thinking to project what
    consequences are likely to follow for ordinary Tibetans if the
    separatist fantasy were fulfilled.

    --
    Barrry SAUTMAN, JD, LLM, PhD
    Associate Professor
    Division of Social Science
    Hong Kong University of Science & Technology

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